The Miami Dolphins can show it’s a new world order in Foxborough on Sunday by starting 2-0 and making the New England Patriots 0-2. Here’s what they have to do tonight to make that happen:
1.The Dolphins defensive line needs to show its talent. Who was that group in the opener? The good news is the Patriots’ offensive line isn’t the good Chargers offensive line that took it to the Dolphins in the opener with 234 yards rushing. The Patriots have four linemen listed as questionable. They started two fourth-round rookies at guards in the opener. Still, that makeshift line did fine against a strong Philadelphia Eagles line. But if this expensive Dolphins defensive line (two first-round picks and big money for Bradley Chubb and forgotten man Emmanuel Ogbah) is as talented as most of us think, this is a game to show it. Patriots left tackle Trent Brown and right guard/tackle reserve Sidy Sow didn’t practice all week while in concussion protocol. Starting guards Michael Onwenu and Cole Strange didn’t play in the opener and were limited in practice this week. This is a game the Dolphins defensive line should have better handle on the game.
2. Let’s stay with line play: The Dolphins’ offensive line needs to keep the standard it set in the opener. This was the foundation to all the offensive success. Terron Armstead looks like he’s returning to left tackle, but he couldn’t have had much better results against the Chargers than Kendall Lamm. Every quarterback is different with a clean pocket, and Tua Tagovailoa has shown he can light it up if protected, like last Sunday against the Chargers (466 yards passing, three TDs). New England is more physical, and coach Bill Belichick is more creative than the Chargers. New England sacked Jalen Hurts three times and returns the same cast that tied for third last season with 54 sacks. Beyond that, can the Dolphins run the ball? They didn’t last week — and then didn’t stick with it with the passing game so strong. In their two games against the Patriots last year, the Dolphins ran a combined 42 times for 117 yards and no TDs.
3. How will the Patriots set up against Tyreek Hill? This is the first question to any Dolphins game. It’s especially interesting this time because Belichick is known for taking away one of the opponent’s top weapon. Philadelphia tight end Dallas Godert, for instance, had zero catches last week. Sunday’s question is the health of Patriots cornerback Jonathan Jones, who didn’t practice Friday and is questionable with an ankle injury. He’d be a big part of the Hill detail if healthy. If not? Well, it’s hard to look at last year’s results too hard. The Dolphins won the season opener against New England 20-13. It was the first game for the Big Three of McDaniel, Tagovailoa and Hill. They then met in a Jan. 1 game where Tagovailoa was out with a concussion. One thought is Belichick will play a zone of some form, especially if Jones is out. Makes sense. Tagovailoa might like it, too. He ranked first in the league against zones last year with nine yards per attempt and 11 touchdowns.
4. Clean up some loose play. Three fumbles on the center-quarterback exchange? That was a preseason issue, too. And a missed extra point? The Dolphins got away with those in the opener, since they won, anyway. They were good in the penalty department (six for 38 yards) after an offseason spent discussing the need to cut that down. The Patriots’ opening loss to Philadelphia showed how bigger mistakes can cost you, as two first-quarter turnovers put them behind in a manner they never recovered. The good thing for the Dolphins’ opening mistakes is they’re all correctable.
5. Tua vs. Mac Jones. Last week, the Dolphins and Patriots games came down to the final series. Tua delivered. Jones didn’t. Sometimes the NFL is as easy as that. The two Alabama quarterbacks have had oddly up-and-down starts to careers. First, it was the Dolphins trying to replace Tagovailoa while the rookie Jones had a good rookie year. Last year Tagovailoa had a big season (excluding concussions) while Jones and the Patriots offense suffered in Matt Patricia’s offense. Each player was the focus of their opening game, with Tagovailoa passing 45 times and Jones passing 54. That wasn’t the game McDaniel wanted and Belichick didn’t. It wasn’t a game Jones could excel at with health troubles on the line and lackluster playmakers. He completed 35 of 54 passes for 316 yards. Kendall Bourne, in Patricia’s doghouse last year, looks like the Patriots’ top receiver.
Updated prediction: Dolphins 24, Patriots 20.